Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.019042 1.144386 1.280847 1.440724 1.623251 1.825543 2.067277
2026-02-01 0.784913 0.941980 1.126102 1.358907 1.646866 1.993219 2.444142
2026-02-08 0.643165 0.813532 1.025378 1.310292 1.686691 2.171408 2.850102
2026-02-15 0.548420 0.724441 0.954297 1.279895 1.734824 2.356174 3.283357
2026-02-22 0.499502 0.685693 0.939669 1.316653 1.870945 2.670172 3.935800
2026-03-01 0.452972 0.642789 0.911688 1.327485 1.967024 2.934869 4.552048
2026-03-08 0.404144 0.590037 0.862085 1.297950 1.995321 3.096746 5.027493
2026-03-15 0.363246 0.544019 0.816433 1.267155 2.014747 3.242867 5.493861
2026-03-22 0.347794 0.534652 0.824841 1.321232 2.176085 3.639703 6.452363
2026-03-29 0.330552 0.520387 0.823430 1.357964 2.311158 4.007518 7.416527
2026-04-05 0.313431 0.504415 0.817183 1.384908 2.431013 4.362202 8.412626
2026-04-12 0.293447 0.481696 0.797173 1.384900 2.500750 4.631271 9.280510
2026-04-19 0.270033 0.452092 0.764307 1.361361 2.529733 4.838365 10.085609
2026-04-26 0.243700 0.415234 0.715509 1.303359 2.485556 4.895421 10.580848
2026-05-03 0.223016 0.386612 0.678862 1.264457 2.474604 5.019724 11.254892
2026-05-10 0.206263 0.363638 0.650399 1.238258 2.486143 5.193305 12.080402
2026-05-17 0.199158 0.357784 0.653320 1.274959 2.635345 5.692924 13.816743
2026-05-24 0.189539 0.346316 0.644319 1.285938 2.729563 6.081380 15.352343
2026-05-31 0.176393 0.326972 0.618124 1.257646 2.731359 6.250712 16.332928
2026-06-07 0.164305 0.308741 0.592578 1.228002 2.726129 6.401940 17.296649
2026-06-14 0.161424 0.308551 0.603622 1.280246 2.922447 7.093394 20.008678
2026-06-21 0.157029 0.304907 0.607113 1.315719 3.082728 7.718738 22.682216
2026-06-28 0.152031 0.299604 0.606581 1.341733 3.222813 8.314053 25.419284